Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.309513 0.358235 0.411311 0.473315 0.543649 0.620841 0.711855
2025-10-19 0.230817 0.298050 0.378580 0.481619 0.609379 0.761967 0.957326
2025-10-26 0.184973 0.259373 0.355016 0.485839 0.658798 0.878141 1.175622
2025-11-02 0.152374 0.229022 0.333552 0.484622 0.695064 0.975140 1.372817
2025-11-09 0.126659 0.202608 0.311780 0.477398 0.718855 1.053875 1.548595
2025-11-16 0.106872 0.181033 0.292885 0.470178 0.739419 1.127067 1.719630
2025-11-23 0.089132 0.159506 0.270616 0.454183 0.743797 1.175340 1.856358
2025-11-30 0.083200 0.155944 0.275284 0.479352 0.811610 1.320808 2.145485
2025-12-07 0.071115 0.140044 0.257825 0.466668 0.818085 1.372612 2.295102
2025-12-14 0.060806 0.125652 0.240917 0.452557 0.820058 1.416268 2.433510
2025-12-21 0.052762 0.114185 0.227553 0.442701 0.827513 1.468194 2.587330
2025-12-28 0.048285 0.108912 0.224627 0.450749 0.865851 1.572807 2.833269
2026-01-04 0.045762 0.107354 0.228690 0.472393 0.930758 1.727990 3.176575
2026-01-11 0.042265 0.103277 0.227467 0.484034 0.978708 1.857695 3.485744
2026-01-18 0.038436 0.097870 0.222893 0.488564 1.013571 1.966401 3.764873
2026-01-25 0.034539 0.091676 0.215893 0.487366 1.037096 2.055821 4.014659
2026-02-01 0.030609 0.084755 0.206470 0.480107 1.047946 2.122349 4.226669
2026-02-08 0.027168 0.078441 0.197553 0.472850 1.057893 2.187368 4.439214
2026-02-15 0.023539 0.071023 0.185193 0.456772 1.048294 2.214197 4.581418
2026-02-22 0.022987 0.071584 0.191334 0.482071 1.126435 2.415161 5.065432
2026-03-01 0.020187 0.065571 0.181115 0.469322 1.122867 2.455199 5.241303
2026-03-08 0.017649 0.059825 0.170785 0.455138 1.114796 2.485309 5.398908
2026-03-15 0.015626 0.055199 0.162652 0.445232 1.115145 2.532189 5.592009